Tag: Snow

El Nino is here: What to expect across the West

Tomer’s Take: El Nino has arrived. The triple-dip La Nina is over. Bottom line, El Nino is here through Winter 2024. The La Nina for a generation The 2022-2023 La Nina delivered big time to CA, UT, and CO. In fact, it overdelivered. It overperformed in ways not seen in historical records. It was a […]

Rain totals last 30 days; What’s next?

Tomer’s Take: Parts of Colorado are soaked after record rainfall totals over the last 30 days. Some places are pushing a foot of rainfall. The pattern stays wetter than normal through June 15 then returns to a “normal” precipitation pattern after June 15 through June 30. Denver Front Range Accumulated precipitation May 1 – June […]

Update: June Looks Wet

Tomer’s Take: I’m forecasting above normal early to mid June precipitation for most of the West with a powerful Subtropical Jet Stream. But, what above mid to late June? Data points to drier air for a few states including CO, WY, NM, AZ. Rich Flow with Subtropical Jet Valid 6/10: This is not normal for […]

Pikes Peak nailed by 3-4 feet of snow

Tomer’s Take: The ‘Super Soaker Storm System’ on 5/10-5/12 delivered 3-4 feet of snow to Pikes Peak (14,115ft). Photos were taken by Luke Doyle while clearing snow at Glen Cove and higher up on Pikes Peak. Robust Precipitation Precipitation totals 5/10-5/12. The closest CoCoRaHS observation to Pikes Peak is 3.86″ recorded in Manitou Springs. Next, […]

Rapid Snowmelt, Rich Moisture, Rain/Thunderstorm Pattern

Tomer’s Take: A surge of warm air will kick the snowmelt into high gear in UT, WY, CO through 5/24. I’m also forecasting a rich flow of moisture on Wednesday-Thursday this week with afternoon rain/t-storm chances each day. Forecast Freezing Level Wasatch Mountains, UT, Daily Max/Min: 5/15: 13600’/12800′ 5/16: 13600’/13500′ 5/17: 13600’/13000′ 5/18: 13500’/13000′ 5/19: […]

Rapid Snowmelt Coming to UT, CO, WY

Tomer’s Take: Freezing levels will rise quickly and stay high through 5/23. And, there’s a lot of snowpack remaining. Plus, the pattern remains wetter than normal on 5/14, 5/15, and 5/18 with rain showers/thunderstorms likely even at mid/high elevations. Forecast Freezing Level Wasatch Mountains, UT, Daily Max/Min: 5/14: 12800’/11800′ 5/15: 13600’/12600′ 5/16: 13800’/13600′ 5/17: 13600’/13100′ […]

Weekend Wind, Freezing Levels, and Monsoon-esque Flow

Tomer’s Take: A rich flow of moisture moves into CO and NM 5/13-5/15. It resembles the Monsoon, which typically occurs in July-August. There is a little snow in the forecast above 11,000ft. View from the Continental Divide at Loveland Ski Area this morning. I’m forecasting light snow tonight with a better chance of accumulating light/moderate […]

Foot of snow in Colorado; Monsoon-esque Flow 5/14-5/15

Tomer’s Take: A foot of snow has fallen above 10,000ft in parts of Colorado including Arapahoe Basin and Loveland Ski Area. 4-day rain totals in Denver now exceed four inches! What’s next? This storm system exits Colorado but a new push of moisture is likely 5/14-5/15. It resembles a Monsoon flow normally seen in July-August. […]

Snow is falling in Colorado along with soaking rain

Tomer’s Take: Snow is falling above 10,000ft in Colorado while Denver gets soaking rain through 5/12. Large, widespread hail nailed Denver and the Front Range last night. That risk has now passed as the storm system has “cooled”. I’m also watching a Monsoon-esque flow 5/14-5/15 as atmospheric wind turns southerly pulling up Gulf Moisture into […]

CO Severe Weather, Soaker, & Snow

Tomer’s Take: Golfball sized hail fell over parts of Colorado’s Front Range last night (Erie, Timnath, Firestone, Brighton, Lochbuie, Wiggins) and is likely again this afternoon plus a couple tornadoes. This is the first ‘Enhanced Severe Weather Risk’ for Denver since 2018. Then, the pattern “cools” with heavy rain and mountain snow likely. The bulk […]