Tag: Weather

Mountain snow this weekend

Tomer’s Take: Pattern change remains on-track 10/22-10/24. Possible 2nd storm system with snow 10/26-10/28. Beneficiaries: PNW, BC, Banff, MT, ID, WY, UT, CO. Strong wind gusts UT, CO, WY 40-90mph between 10/22-10/24. Current Setup The pattern change comes from the two large low pressure systems over the Pacific. They will dislodge the high pressure ridge […]

10/19 update: First big mountain snow of the season

Tomer’s Take: Pattern change remains on-track 10/22-10/24. A second low pressure system possible 10/26-10/28. Beneficiaries: PNW, BC, Banff, MT, ID, CO, WY, UT. Strong wind gusts likely 40-95mph 10/22-10/25. Current Setup Water vapor satellite shows the big Western high pressure ridge and cut-off low pressure. This is called a Rex Block. What can change this? […]

10/18 update: First big mountain snow of the season

Tomer’s Take: Weekend mountain snow remains on track. Timeline: 10/22-10/24. Beneficiaries: PNW, Banff, ID, MT, WY, UT, CO. Strong wind likely 40-85mph across the high peaks of UT, WY, CO. Air temps drop 10-25 degrees. Current Setup Water vapor satellite shows the parade of low pressure systems that will gradually erode/dislodge the large high pressure […]

First big mountain snow of the season

Tomer’s Take: The first significant mountain snow of the season is possible 10/22-10/24. Beneficiaries: PNW, Banff, MT, ID, UT, WY, CO. Air temps will run 10-20 degrees below normal. The jet stream delivers strong wind (40-80mph) to the higher peaks of UT, WY, MT and CO between 10/22-10/24. I’ll drill-down on this in future updates […]

When will it snow, part 2

Tomer’s Take: Pattern change remains possible on/after 10/23 across the West. Beneficiaries: CO, UT, WY, ID, MT, PNW, Banff. Lower atmospheric pressures replace high pressure ridge. Snow and colder temps = net result. If this verifies it would be the first significant snowfall of the season for much of the Intermountain West. Current Setup Infrared […]

When will it snow?

Tomer’s Take: A large Western ridge of high pressure remains in control through 10/22. A pattern change is possible on/after 10/23. A large dip in the jet stream and lower atmospheric pressures might replace the large Western high pressure ridge. This pattern change might run 10/23-10/27. Net result: snow and colder temps for UT, CO, […]

Golden days of October

Tomer’s take: High pressure remains in control of the West. Mid-atmosphere pressure readings are running 2-3 standard deviations above (higher) the 20-year average. This pattern mirrors the Fall of 2021-2022. When will this change? Some data suggests 10/23. Current Setup Infrared satellite shows the large ridge of high pressure sitting over the Pacific/PNW/West. Crystal clear […]

October snow forecast; Fall color update

Tomer’s Take: Two active periods for mountain snow are possible regulated by a ridge of high pressure. Two active periods slightly favor Western Slope zones for higher totals. Best accumulation will occur at higher elevations with melting in-between. Peak Fall color in Colorado is running behind schedule in some mountain zones. My full Winter Forecast […]

Weekend events; Loveland tests snow guns

Tomer’s Take: Remnant tropical moisture slides across Colorado 9/14-9/15. Flash flooding possible. Light snow on the 14ers on 9/14, 1-3 inches. Lingering moisture with a jet streak on 9/16 and 9/17 north of I-70. Jet streak appears weaker today with only a glancing blow to Colorado. Drier, sunny, and gusty on 9/18. Pikes Peak Ascent […]

Smoke, tropical remnants, weekend events

Tomer’s Take: The tropical remnants from Kay arrive in Colorado Tuesday afternoon (9/13) and continue through 9/15. This precipitation might end as light snow on the 14ers late on 9/14. Smoke goes away on 9/14 as the storm systems sweep the atmosphere. Then a jet streak arrives with wind and lingering rain shower chances north […]