Smoke, tropical remnants, weekend events

Tomer’s Take:

  • The tropical remnants from Kay arrive in Colorado Tuesday afternoon (9/13) and continue through 9/15.
  • This precipitation might end as light snow on the 14ers late on 9/14.
  • Smoke goes away on 9/14 as the storm systems sweep the atmosphere.
  • Then a jet streak arrives with wind and lingering rain shower chances north of I-70 between 9/16-9/18.
  • Two big events this week: Pikes Peak Ascent and Marathon, and Run Rabbit Run in Steamboat.

Current Setup

Water vapor satellite shows both low pressure systems approaching Colorado. Orange/red = drier air aloft.

Water vapor satellite 9/13/2022 5:30am.

Wildfire Smoke

Light to moderate smoke concentration remains in Colorado on 9/13. Smoke gets swept away on 9/14 by both low pressure systems.

Forecast below valid 9/17:

Yellow = light to moderate.

Pink = moderate to extreme.

Forecast wildfire smoke valid 9/17.

Event Forecast

A jet streak moves into Colorado 9/17-9/18 and wind above treeline increases.

This is normal in September and especially October-November with cold fronts every few days.

Jet stream level forecast valid 9/17-9/18, Euro interpretation.

Pikes Peak Ascent and Marathon:

PPAMPMGusts
9/16Dry20%15-35
9/17Dry10%20-35
9/18DryDry40-50

Run Rabbit Run:

RRRAMPMGusts
9/1620%60%15-35
9/17Dry20%10-25
9/18DryDry20-40