Category: Exercise

Monsoon surge this weekend

Tomer’s Take: The next Monsoon surge occurs over the Mountains between Friday afternoon and Monday morning. The bulk of the precipitation occurs over the Southern Mountains with less impact as you go North. Overall, this is a moderate surge. Not as big as last week. Primary impact is for higher chances of midday/afternoon/evening rain and […]

Andrea Sansone climbs 12 14ers in under 24 hours setting new FKT

Andrea Sansone climbed 12 14ers in 22hrs16min (supported). Eric Lee set the previous men’s and overall FKT with 11 14ers in 21hrs50min (supported) on 9/19/2020. Becca Jay set the previous women’s FKT with 8 14ers in 18hrs33min (supported) on 7/8/2020. FKT = Fastest Known Time “This project has been a long time coming and there […]

Monsoon arrives and big event forecast update

Tomer’s Take: Peak surge underway. The first surge of Monsoon moisture combined with upper level jet support generated a major hailstorm in downtown Estes Park. Golfball sized hail (or larger) fell just outside Fort Collins in Wellington, Severance, and around Timnath. 1-3 inches of rainfall with a few different lines of thunderstorms accumulated around Fort […]

Monsoon looks robust for next two weeks

Tomer’s Take: The door remains wide open for an active Monsoon through 8/10. Atmospheric moisture values run 150-300% of normal through 8/10 over parts of Colorado – especially the Mountains south of I-70. Drier north of I-70. It’s important to time-out the surges. Life is more normal in-between surges. Two surges in my CO forecast: […]

Monsoon surge late week: Forecast details

Tomer’s Take: Major surge of Monsoon moisture hits AZ, NM, UT, and CO Thursday-Friday. In Colorado, this is the largest surge of the season so far. In Colorado, the Southern Mountains get hit the hardest. Flash flooding possible starting Wednesday afternoon/night with multiple rounds of thunderstorms. Total rainfall by 7/31 could run 1-4 inches in […]

Monsoon preview this weekend

Tomer’s Take: A surge of pre-Monsoon season moisture hits Colorado Saturday-Monday. Normal Monsoon season runs July-August. The areas most affected are the Western Slope and Southern Mountains of Colorado. Precipitable water increases to 200% of June 30-year average values. Bottom line: plan on smaller weather windows. Expect mountain thunderstorms by 10am or earlier across the […]

La Nina continues into Summer

Water temperatures in the Equatorial South Pacific are running about 1.0C colder than normal. The latest forecast calls for water temps to stay colder than normal into Summer – through June-July-August. The blue bars in the graph below represent La Nina. Here’s a look at the model spread over time. We’ve been locked into La […]

Snow forecast this week

Tomer’s Take 1-2 minor cold fronts race through MT, WY, CO, NM between 1/24-1/26. Only glancing blows for UT, ID. Possible pattern change by 2/1 across the West with a more active storm track. 2-3 Alberta Clippers for the Northeast, lake effect, and possible larger weekend storm system. Enjoyed some backcountry skiing on Saturday. Cold […]

New to CO: Avalanche transceiver detection via helicopter

Highlights New beacon technology installed on select Flight for Life helicopters can now be used to locate missing people wearing avalanche transceivers. “This technology is another tool in our toolbox,” says Dale Atkins of Alpine Rescue Team. The helicopter beacon can detect any avalanche transceiver on the market today (at 457kHz). Alpine Rescue Team, Loveland […]