Tag: Skiing

10/21 update: Weekend mountain snow

Tomer’s Take: Pattern change underway. High pressure becomes dislodged. Two low pressure systems lined-up: 10/22-10/24 and 10/26-10/28. Bullseyes: Utah’s Wasatch especially Little Cottonwood, Colorado’s Western/Southwest mountains including Crested Butte, Purgatory, Silverton and Wolf Creek, Montana’s Big Sky and Bridger Bowl. Current Setup The long-standing high pressure ridge becomes dislodged and replaced by both low pressure […]

Mountain snow this weekend

Tomer’s Take: Pattern change remains on-track 10/22-10/24. Possible 2nd storm system with snow 10/26-10/28. Beneficiaries: PNW, BC, Banff, MT, ID, WY, UT, CO. Strong wind gusts UT, CO, WY 40-90mph between 10/22-10/24. Current Setup The pattern change comes from the two large low pressure systems over the Pacific. They will dislodge the high pressure ridge […]

10/19 update: First big mountain snow of the season

Tomer’s Take: Pattern change remains on-track 10/22-10/24. A second low pressure system possible 10/26-10/28. Beneficiaries: PNW, BC, Banff, MT, ID, CO, WY, UT. Strong wind gusts likely 40-95mph 10/22-10/25. Current Setup Water vapor satellite shows the big Western high pressure ridge and cut-off low pressure. This is called a Rex Block. What can change this? […]

10/18 update: First big mountain snow of the season

Tomer’s Take: Weekend mountain snow remains on track. Timeline: 10/22-10/24. Beneficiaries: PNW, Banff, ID, MT, WY, UT, CO. Strong wind likely 40-85mph across the high peaks of UT, WY, CO. Air temps drop 10-25 degrees. Current Setup Water vapor satellite shows the parade of low pressure systems that will gradually erode/dislodge the large high pressure […]

First big mountain snow of the season

Tomer’s Take: The first significant mountain snow of the season is possible 10/22-10/24. Beneficiaries: PNW, Banff, MT, ID, UT, WY, CO. Air temps will run 10-20 degrees below normal. The jet stream delivers strong wind (40-80mph) to the higher peaks of UT, WY, MT and CO between 10/22-10/24. I’ll drill-down on this in future updates […]

When will it snow, part 2

Tomer’s Take: Pattern change remains possible on/after 10/23 across the West. Beneficiaries: CO, UT, WY, ID, MT, PNW, Banff. Lower atmospheric pressures replace high pressure ridge. Snow and colder temps = net result. If this verifies it would be the first significant snowfall of the season for much of the Intermountain West. Current Setup Infrared […]

When will it snow?

Tomer’s Take: A large Western ridge of high pressure remains in control through 10/22. A pattern change is possible on/after 10/23. A large dip in the jet stream and lower atmospheric pressures might replace the large Western high pressure ridge. This pattern change might run 10/23-10/27. Net result: snow and colder temps for UT, CO, […]

Winter forecast 2022-2023

Tomer’s Take: Rare triple-dip La Nina. Multivariate ENSO Index strongest since 2010. Warm blob is back but for how long? Abnormally warm and dry Fall season across the West. Late start to Winter. Large Western ridge of high pressure September 2022 – March 2023. Overall, target PNW, British Columbia, Banff Area, Wyoming, Idaho, and Montana […]

Mountain Weather update 10/31

There are a few storm systems lined-up into the Pacific Ocean targeting the first week of November. Each will follow a similar storm track into the PNW then into the intermountain West. Each front delivers light to moderate snow amounts to the WY, CO, MT, and UT. Unfortunately, the storm track does not favor California. […]

November Forecast: Loveland Ski Area

Loveland Ski Area officially opens on Saturday, October 30. I took a thorough look at the pattern for November and it looks snowy at Loveland Ski Area. Let me expand on my temperature forecast. For perspective, here are the average highs and lows (roughly) at the base. Average high November 1: 40° Average high November […]