Category: Meteorology

Tomer’s Take: An Arctic front racing north to south from Canada will drive the Western snow pattern through 12/22. Then it moves East and develops into a strong, deep area of low pressure over the Great Lakes. But, it puts the big NE ski areas in the warm sector with a mix of precipitation. Long […]

Tomer’s Take: The place to be through Christmas is the PNW, BC, Banff, ID, MT, WY, UT, CO where an Arctic front will direct the pattern. In the Northeast, the Western Arctic front develops into a large low pressure on/around 12/23. Unfortunately, it looks too warm with snow to rain then back to snow. My […]

Tomer’s Take: The next storm system for the Northeast arrives on/around 12/23 but might be too warm with rain initially then snow. >Out West, an Arctic front 12/20-12/22 spreads snow north to south through ID, UT, MT, WY, CO. >Then a NW type flow develops 12/23-12/26 favoring WY, ID, MT, CO, PNW, BC, Banff. My […]

Tomer’s Take: Heavy snow is falling across VT, NH, ME through 12/17. Then the pattern gradually shifts to favor the PNW/BC and northern tier of states. By Christmas a NW flow might develop to include CO. My forecast video 12/16: Current Western Snowpack It resembles a La Nina pattern but with a slight shift south/west. […]

Tomer’s Take: Heavy snow is on track for the Northeast 12/16-12/17. Then the pattern shifts back to the PNW/BC/Banff and eventually WY, CO, UT. An Arctic front is the catalyst for shifting the pattern back to the West on/after 12/20. My forecast video 12/15: Season Totals so far I put this together as of 12/15. […]

Tomer’s Take: The Western blizzard turns into a large snowstorm for the Northeast 12/16-12/17. Out West, the pattern settles down with only light snow accumulation through 12/19 then turns more active 12/20-12/22+ as two Pacific storms catch a fast northern branch. My forecast video 12/14: Current Setup Water vapor satellite shows the Western blizzard slowly […]

Tomer’s Take: 21-30 inch Sierra totals so far with snow continuing. Next stop is ID, WY, MT, UT, and CO for big totals through 12/15. Then pattern turns more tranquil after 12/15. Active pattern shifts to the Northeast. Current Setup Water vapor satellite shows the big low moving at snails pace through CA. Red/orange = […]

Tomer’s Take: California’s Sierra continues to get nailed by a strong storm system, a moderate atmospheric river (AR), and solid orographics. Next stop for big totals are ID, UT, WY, CO 12/11-12/14. Current Setup Visible satellite shows the big low pressure hitting California. Here’s a zoom. The size is impressive! Forecast Pattern Forecast jet stream […]

Tomer’s Take: The next storm system is a powerhouse 12/10-12/13. It has jet support, colder air, and a weak to moderate atmospheric river (AR) contribution. Current Setup Infrared satellite shows a small low washing-out across the Intermountain West followed by the much stronger storm system over the Pacific. Forecast Pattern Forecast jet stream valid 12/10/2022. […]

Tomer’s Take: A powerful storm system arrives 12/10-12/13. I’m forecasting a weak to moderate atmospheric river (AR) for the Sierra, colder air, and widespread heavy snow for the PNW, ID, WY, UT, and CO. Current Setup Water vapor satellite shows two storm systems lined-up in the North Pacific. The 2nd storm system approaching the Bering […]