Tomer’s Take: Current bullseye is PNW, BC, and Banff through 10/31. That storm system then drops south into CA and southern tier 11/1-11/6. Track and wind field might not be suitable for blockbuster CA snowfall. Track has potential to dig too far south. Storm system affects ID, UT, AZ, NM, CO, and WY 11/1-11/6. Snow […]
Category: Hiking/Mountaineering
Snow forecast next 8 days
Tomer’s Take: Next storm system hits the West 11/1-11/6 and could include California. (Until then the PNW/BC/Banff are the bullseyes for best snow). Questions loom: How far south and west will this trough dig? Will upper-level winds be suitable for orographic snowfall? This will determine how much snow CA’s Sierra receive. And will this turn […]
Active early November pattern including California
Tomer’s Take: High pressure rebuilds for a few days (10/28-10/31) across the West. The next trough digs further south/west 11/1-11/5 and looks to include California. This could mean snow, colder temps, and very strong wind across the West. Current Setup Visible satellite shows additional low pressure systems lined-up in the north Pacific. They will help […]
Snow forecast through Halloween and beyond
Tomer’s Take: Snow is likely 10/26 across the PNW, BC, ID, MT, WY, UT, and CO. Snow continues on 10/27 in CO and NM. Then high pressure rebuilds 10/28-10/31. A large trough moves back into the West 11/1-11/5. This would mean snow and colder weather for the ski areas. My NOV-DEC-JAN forecast is below. Current […]
Forecast through early November
Tomer’s Take: Next storm system and pre-storm snow through 10/27. Beneficiaries: PNW, BC, Banff, MT, ID, WY, UT, CO, NM. High pressure rebuilds 10/28-10/30. Possible trough and active pattern 10/31-11/3 and possible NW flow. Current Setup Water vapor satellite shows the active storm track and low pressure systems lined-up. Orange/red = drier air aloft. 10/31-11/3 […]
Next storm system
Tomer’s Take: Residual snow continues across Colorado in the wake of storm #1. The next storm system sends waves of pre-storm snow into PNW, BC, Banff, UT, ID, MT on 10/24 and 10/25. Into CO on 10/25. The primary storm system arrives 10/26-10/27. Residual snow continues to fall at Aspen/Snowmass. Less accumulation occurred at the […]
Snow forecast next 8 days
Tomer’s Take: Storm #1 continues across the Intermountain West on 10/23-10/24. Strong wind gusts likely 40-105mph. Storm #2 arrives 10/26-10/28. Storm #2 is weaker than storm #1. Alta, UT and Snowbird, UT are reporting 12-19″ of new snow in the last 24 hours. And, it’s not done yet. Current Setup Radar shows the rain/snow moving […]
Weekend snow forecast
Tomer’s Take: First of two low pressure systems now moving south through the PNW into MT, ID, WY, UT and eventually CO between 10/22-10/24. Bullseyes: Big and Little Cottonwood Canyons, Brian Head, Big Sky, Bridger Bowl, Discovery, Western and SW Colorado mountain zones. Strong 40-100mph wind gusts 10/22-10/24 across the higher peaks. 2nd low pressure […]
10/21 update: Weekend mountain snow
Tomer’s Take: Pattern change underway. High pressure becomes dislodged. Two low pressure systems lined-up: 10/22-10/24 and 10/26-10/28. Bullseyes: Utah’s Wasatch especially Little Cottonwood, Colorado’s Western/Southwest mountains including Crested Butte, Purgatory, Silverton and Wolf Creek, Montana’s Big Sky and Bridger Bowl. Current Setup The long-standing high pressure ridge becomes dislodged and replaced by both low pressure […]
Mountain snow this weekend
Tomer’s Take: Pattern change remains on-track 10/22-10/24. Possible 2nd storm system with snow 10/26-10/28. Beneficiaries: PNW, BC, Banff, MT, ID, WY, UT, CO. Strong wind gusts UT, CO, WY 40-90mph between 10/22-10/24. Current Setup The pattern change comes from the two large low pressure systems over the Pacific. They will dislodge the high pressure ridge […]