Category: Forecasting

Big totals continue through 12/15 then calmer out West

Tomer’s Take: 21-30 inch Sierra totals so far with snow continuing. Next stop is ID, WY, MT, UT, and CO for big totals through 12/15. Then pattern turns more tranquil after 12/15. Active pattern shifts to the Northeast. Current Setup Water vapor satellite shows the big low moving at snails pace through CA. Red/orange = […]

Powerhouse storm system with big totals

Tomer’s Take: California’s Sierra continues to get nailed by a strong storm system, a moderate atmospheric river (AR), and solid orographics. Next stop for big totals are ID, UT, WY, CO 12/11-12/14. Current Setup Visible satellite shows the big low pressure hitting California. Here’s a zoom. The size is impressive! Forecast Pattern Forecast jet stream […]

Big totals with next storm system

Tomer’s Take: The next storm system is a powerhouse 12/10-12/13. It has jet support, colder air, and a weak to moderate atmospheric river (AR) contribution. Current Setup Infrared satellite shows a small low washing-out across the Intermountain West followed by the much stronger storm system over the Pacific. Forecast Pattern Forecast jet stream valid 12/10/2022. […]

Large storm system 12/10-12/13

Tomer’s Take: A powerful storm system arrives 12/10-12/13. I’m forecasting a weak to moderate atmospheric river (AR) for the Sierra, colder air, and widespread heavy snow for the PNW, ID, WY, UT, and CO. Current Setup Water vapor satellite shows two storm systems lined-up in the North Pacific. The 2nd storm system approaching the Bering […]

Snow forecast through 12/16

Tomer’s Take: Snow continues to fall in parts of Colorado ending on 12/8. Two additional storm systems are lined-up through 12/16 with heavy snow accumulation for the West and a weak atmospheric river (AR) setup for CA. ->Snowmass, CO is reporting 15″ in the last 48 hours. ->Wolf Creek, CO is reporting 11″ in the […]

Pattern through 12/15

Tomer’s Take: I’m forecasting four different storm systems for the West through 12/15 with big totals. A weak atmospheric river (AR) is possible for CA’s Sierra 12/10-12/11. Current Setup Infrared satellite shows an active flow off the Pacific with storm systems lined-up. Forecast Pattern Forecast jet stream partner valid 12/7. Storm #1 is moving at […]

Three storm systems lined-up through 12/12

Tomer’s Take: Three different storm systems are lined-up through 12/12 with big totals for most of the West. My forecast video including snow plume for Vail Mountain/Vail Pass: Forecast Timing Forecast radar and satellite valid 12/4-12/9. Forecast Totals Forecast snow totals (inches) valid 12/4-12/7. Forecast snow totals (inches) valid 12/8-12/12.

Pattern through 12/12

Tomer’s Take: One more storm system is lined-up for CA and the West before the pattern shifts after 12/8. Current Setup Infrared satellite shows two storm systems lined-up. The first low delivers heavy snow accumulation to CA and the interior. The 2nd low hits further north and then might wash-out at the expense of a […]

Storm #2: Adjusting the forecast totals

Tomer’s Take: Storm #1 continues to drop heavy snow accumulation and strong wind gusts. Storm #2 delivers heavy snow 12/3-12/7 in many of the same locations. Overall, I decreased many of my forecast totals after observing how storm #1 unfolded. Some forecast totals in CO increase. Snow accumulation continues across WY, UT, CO. Overall totals […]