Category: Forecasting

Tomer’s Take: A ‘strong to extreme intensity’ atmospheric river arrives on/after 12/27 through 1/3 across the West with big snow totals. Out East, it’s cold and windy in the wake of the Blizzard with lake effect snow. I snapped this aerial photo of the Eastern Plains of Colorado on Friday 12/23. It looks like the […]

Tomer’s Take: Looking ahead, a moderate to strong intensity atmospheric river hits the West Coast on/after 12/27 through 1/1 with 3-4 different waves of rich Pacific moisture. Big totals likely. Big low in the Northeast continues: Strong wind, snow, rain, then back to snow for VT, NH, and ME. For example, Killington is reporting strong […]

Tomer’s Take: The Western Arctic front races east and develops into a deep area of low pressure over the Great Lakes. It flushes the ski areas of VT, NH, and ME with warm air and mixed precipitation. Out West, Arctic air lingers with a moderate to strong intensity atmospheric river (AR) on/after 12/27. My forecast […]

Tomer’s Take: An Arctic front is diving south through MT, WY, and CO driving the snow accumulation. This Arctic front then moves east and develops into a deep area of low pressure for the Great Lakes and Northeast. Unfortunately, the track puts the ski areas of VT, NH, and ME in the warm sector with […]

Tomer’s Take: An Arctic front racing north to south from Canada will drive the Western snow pattern through 12/22. Then it moves East and develops into a strong, deep area of low pressure over the Great Lakes. But, it puts the big NE ski areas in the warm sector with a mix of precipitation. Long […]

Tomer’s Take: The place to be through Christmas is the PNW, BC, Banff, ID, MT, WY, UT, CO where an Arctic front will direct the pattern. In the Northeast, the Western Arctic front develops into a large low pressure on/around 12/23. Unfortunately, it looks too warm with snow to rain then back to snow. My […]

Tomer’s Take: The next storm system for the Northeast arrives on/around 12/23 but might be too warm with rain initially then snow. >Out West, an Arctic front 12/20-12/22 spreads snow north to south through ID, UT, MT, WY, CO. >Then a NW type flow develops 12/23-12/26 favoring WY, ID, MT, CO, PNW, BC, Banff. My […]

Tomer’s Take: Heavy snow is falling across VT, NH, ME through 12/17. Then the pattern gradually shifts to favor the PNW/BC and northern tier of states. By Christmas a NW flow might develop to include CO. My forecast video 12/16: Current Western Snowpack It resembles a La Nina pattern but with a slight shift south/west. […]

Tomer’s Take: Heavy snow is on track for the Northeast 12/16-12/17. Then the pattern shifts back to the PNW/BC/Banff and eventually WY, CO, UT. An Arctic front is the catalyst for shifting the pattern back to the West on/after 12/20. My forecast video 12/15: Season Totals so far I put this together as of 12/15. […]

Tomer’s Take: The Western blizzard turns into a large snowstorm for the Northeast 12/16-12/17. Out West, the pattern settles down with only light snow accumulation through 12/19 then turns more active 12/20-12/22+ as two Pacific storms catch a fast northern branch. My forecast video 12/14: Current Setup Water vapor satellite shows the Western blizzard slowly […]