Category: Exercise

Snow forecast next 8 days

Tomer’s Take: Next storm system hits the West 11/1-11/6 and could include California. (Until then the PNW/BC/Banff are the bullseyes for best snow). Questions loom: How far south and west will this trough dig? Will upper-level winds be suitable for orographic snowfall? This will determine how much snow CA’s Sierra receive. And will this turn […]

Active early November pattern including California

Tomer’s Take: High pressure rebuilds for a few days (10/28-10/31) across the West. The next trough digs further south/west 11/1-11/5 and looks to include California. This could mean snow, colder temps, and very strong wind across the West. Current Setup Visible satellite shows additional low pressure systems lined-up in the north Pacific. They will help […]

Snow forecast through Halloween and beyond

Tomer’s Take: Snow is likely 10/26 across the PNW, BC, ID, MT, WY, UT, and CO. Snow continues on 10/27 in CO and NM. Then high pressure rebuilds 10/28-10/31. A large trough moves back into the West 11/1-11/5. This would mean snow and colder weather for the ski areas. My NOV-DEC-JAN forecast is below. Current […]

Forecast through early November

Tomer’s Take: Next storm system and pre-storm snow through 10/27. Beneficiaries: PNW, BC, Banff, MT, ID, WY, UT, CO, NM. High pressure rebuilds 10/28-10/30. Possible trough and active pattern 10/31-11/3 and possible NW flow. Current Setup Water vapor satellite shows the active storm track and low pressure systems lined-up. Orange/red = drier air aloft. 10/31-11/3 […]

Next storm system

Tomer’s Take: Residual snow continues across Colorado in the wake of storm #1. The next storm system sends waves of pre-storm snow into PNW, BC, Banff, UT, ID, MT on 10/24 and 10/25. Into CO on 10/25. The primary storm system arrives 10/26-10/27. Residual snow continues to fall at Aspen/Snowmass. Less accumulation occurred at the […]

Snow forecast next 8 days

Tomer’s Take: Storm #1 continues across the Intermountain West on 10/23-10/24. Strong wind gusts likely 40-105mph. Storm #2 arrives 10/26-10/28. Storm #2 is weaker than storm #1. Alta, UT and Snowbird, UT are reporting 12-19″ of new snow in the last 24 hours. And, it’s not done yet. Current Setup Radar shows the rain/snow moving […]

Weekend snow forecast

Tomer’s Take: First of two low pressure systems now moving south through the PNW into MT, ID, WY, UT and eventually CO between 10/22-10/24. Bullseyes: Big and Little Cottonwood Canyons, Brian Head, Big Sky, Bridger Bowl, Discovery, Western and SW Colorado mountain zones. Strong 40-100mph wind gusts 10/22-10/24 across the higher peaks. 2nd low pressure […]

10/21 update: Weekend mountain snow

Tomer’s Take: Pattern change underway. High pressure becomes dislodged. Two low pressure systems lined-up: 10/22-10/24 and 10/26-10/28. Bullseyes: Utah’s Wasatch especially Little Cottonwood, Colorado’s Western/Southwest mountains including Crested Butte, Purgatory, Silverton and Wolf Creek, Montana’s Big Sky and Bridger Bowl. Current Setup The long-standing high pressure ridge becomes dislodged and replaced by both low pressure […]

Mountain snow this weekend

Tomer’s Take: Pattern change remains on-track 10/22-10/24. Possible 2nd storm system with snow 10/26-10/28. Beneficiaries: PNW, BC, Banff, MT, ID, WY, UT, CO. Strong wind gusts UT, CO, WY 40-90mph between 10/22-10/24. Current Setup The pattern change comes from the two large low pressure systems over the Pacific. They will dislodge the high pressure ridge […]

10/19 update: First big mountain snow of the season

Tomer’s Take: Pattern change remains on-track 10/22-10/24. A second low pressure system possible 10/26-10/28. Beneficiaries: PNW, BC, Banff, MT, ID, CO, WY, UT. Strong wind gusts likely 40-95mph 10/22-10/25. Current Setup Water vapor satellite shows the big Western high pressure ridge and cut-off low pressure. This is called a Rex Block. What can change this? […]