Tomer’s Take: Two cold fronts remain on track to deliver snow and the coldest air of the season so far through 10/29. Snow totals in Colorado are trending higher 10/28-10/29. Air temps in Colorado’s mountains drop below zero late 10/29 into 10/30. Air temps in Wyoming’s mountains drop below zero 10/28, 10/29, 10/30. My forecast […]
Category: Skiing
10/24 Update: Western Snow + Two Cold Fronts
Tomer’s Take: Two cold fronts deliver snow (10/24-10/29) and the coldest air of the season so far. Colorado stays abnormally warm until late 10/27 then temps drop quickly. Below zero mountain temps likely on the morning of 10/30. My forecast video: Snow continues at Lake Louise Ski Resort, Banff. Timeline 10/24-10/26: Cold front, Banff, PNW, […]
10/23 Update: Western Snow + Three Cold Fronts
Tomer’s Take: The first of three cold fronts moves across the Banff, MT, WY today (10/23). The two remaining cold fronts are more significant 10/24-10/29 with additional jet stream support and colder air. Colorado remains abnormally warm until 10/28 when the 3rd cold front arrives. My forecast video: Timeline 10/23: 1st Cold Front, Banff, MT, […]
Western Snow Inbound with Three Cold Fronts 10/23-10/29
Tomer’s Take: An active week ahead with three separate cold fronts, 40 degree drop in air temps, strong wind, and heavy snow accumulation. Who’s affected? PNW, Banff, MT, ID, UT, WY, CO, CA. Timing Late 10/22 – 10/23: 1st Cold Front delivers snow to ID, WY, MT, Banff. 10/24-10/26: 2nd Cold Front delivers snow to […]
Mountain Weather Update 10/11: Snow for CO, UT, WY
Tomer’s Take: A storm system with snow for UT, WY, CO hits 10/11-10/12 along with a 15-30 degree temperature drop. The track of the storm continues trending slightly further north into WY. This has increased forecast totals for WY and parts of UT. The mountain towns of Aspen and Vail start as rain then change […]
Winter Forecast 2023-2024
Tomer’s Take: A Strong El Nino is likely with a screaming Subtropical Jet across the Southern Tier by January, February, March, April, and May 2024. I believe we’ll see a 30% El Nino Modoki contribution. This puts several major ski resorts on ‘The Bubble’. Atmospheric River (AR) setups are likely along with large East Coast […]
What’s Next? End of August and September Forecast Looks Active
Tomer’s Take: Persistent trough is king out West, and this might foreshadow what to expect this El Nino driven Winter. The seasonal Monsoon was three weeks late and intensity was disrupted. It was a victim of larger scale pattern. Lower atmospheric pressures dominate the West Coast through the end of August and then transition into […]
Weekend Mountain Weather, Snow for PNW, July 1 Forecast
Tomer’s Take: An abnormally wet June continues through this weekend across parts of the West with widespread afternoon rain/thunderstorms. A large trough moves into the PNW 6/17-6/21 with high wind and snow for the high Cascades and Volcanoes. Looking down the road, drier weather moves into the West late June through early July with a […]
El Nino is here: What to expect across the West
Tomer’s Take: El Nino has arrived. The triple-dip La Nina is over. Bottom line, El Nino is here through Winter 2024. The La Nina for a generation The 2022-2023 La Nina delivered big time to CA, UT, and CO. In fact, it overdelivered. It overperformed in ways not seen in historical records. It was a […]
Rain totals last 30 days; What’s next?
Tomer’s Take: Parts of Colorado are soaked after record rainfall totals over the last 30 days. Some places are pushing a foot of rainfall. The pattern stays wetter than normal through June 15 then returns to a “normal” precipitation pattern after June 15 through June 30. Denver Front Range Accumulated precipitation May 1 – June […]