Snow forecast through 3/10

Tomer’s Take: There are 2-3 primary storm systems through 3/10 across the West.

Kirkwood is reporting 24 inches in the last 24 hours, and 118 inches in the last 7 days! That’s 526 inches so far this season.

Palisades Tahoe is reporting 18 inches in the last 24 hours, and 144 inches in the last 7 days! That’s 539 inches so far this season.

Current Setup

Water vapor satellite shows the big low sitting across the West with north and south jet support. There are also two additional lows over the Pacific.

Forecast Pattern

Forecast jet stream valid 3/10.

Forecast Timing

Forecast radar/satellite valid 3/1-3/6.

Alta, UT

3/1: 6″

3/3: 1-3″

3/4: 1″

3/5: 6-10″

3/6: 1-2″

3/7: 1″

3/10: 1″

Kirkwood, CA

3/4: 10″

3/5: 10″

3/6: 4″

3/7: 4″

3/9: 1″

3/10: 12″

Forecast Totals

3/1-3/3:

3/4-3/10:

3/1-3/10:

3/1-3/10:

3/1-3/10.

VT/NH/ME Key Snow Dates:

3/2: 1-2″

3/3: Late 1-2″

3/4: 10-12″

3/5: 2″

3/7: 1″

Deep Sierra snow; Active pattern through 3/9

Tomer’s Take: The CA Sierra is working on 100 inches in the last 7 days. I’m forecasting another 40-80 inches by 3/9. The active jet pattern continues for the West through 3/9.

Kirkwood, CA is reporting 97 inches in the last 7 days.

Mammoth Mountain, CA is reporting about 95 inches in the last 7 days.

Alta, UT is reporting 21 inches in the last 24 hours.

Jackson Hole, WY is reporting 16 inches in the last 24 hours, and 26 inches in 48 hours.

Season Totals so far:

Current Setup

Water vapor satellite shows the big low hitting CA and two additional areas of low pressure waiting over the Pacific. The southern jet is also contributing.

Forecast Pattern

Forecast jet stream valid 3/9. A wave of low pressure is sliding across the Intermountain West.

Forecast Timing

Forecast radar/satellite valid 2/28-3/4.

Kirkwood, CA

2/28: 24″

3/1: 3″

3/4: 8″

3/5: 14″

3/6: 1″

3/7: 2″

3/8″ 10″

Purgatory, CO

2/28: 6″

3/1: 12″

3/2: 6″

3/3: 1″

3/9: 8″

Forecast Totals

2/28-3/2:

3/3-3/9:

2/28-3/9:

2/28-3/9:

2/28-3/9:

2/28-3/9.

VT/NH/ME key snow dates:

2/28: 7″

3/1: 1″

3/3: 4″

3/4: 7″

3/5: 1″

3/7: 6″

3/8: 1″

Snow forecast through 3/8

Tomer’s Take: Active storm track continues across the West through 3/8 with 3-4 additional storm systems and strong jet stream support.

Palisades Tahoe is reporting 8 inches in the last 24 hours, and 70 inches in 7 days. Season total: 463″. The next batch of heavy snow arrives this afternoon.

Alta, UT is reporting 7″ in the last 24 hours. Season total: 551″.

Current Setup

Infrared satellite shows three different storm systems lined-up in the Pacific escorted by a powerful jet stream.

Forecast Pattern

Forecast jet stream valid 3/8. A small area of low pressure is sliding through the Intermountain West.

Forecast Timing

Forecast radar/satellite valid 2/27-3/4.

Alta, UT

2/27: 10″

2/28: 7″

3/1: 6″

3/3: 2″

3/5: 2″

3/6: 6″

3/7: 6″

Palisades Tahoe

2/27: 22″

2/28: 22″

3/1: 2″

3/4: 11″

3/5: 16″

3/6: 8″

3/7″ 2″

Forecast Totals

2/27-3/1:

3/2-3/8:

2/27-3/8:

2/27-3/8:

2/27-3/8:

2/27-3/8.

VT/NH/ME key snow dates:

2/28: 4-6″

3/1: 1″

3/3: Late 3″

3/4: 8″+

Active pattern through 3/6

Tomer’s Take: An active jet pattern continues through 3/6 with at least 4 different storm systems lined-up for the West.

  • 17″ in 24hours at Kirkwood. That’s 28″ in 48 hours.
  • 22″ in 24hours at Mammoth Mountain. That’s 30″ in 48 hours.

Current Setup

Water vapor shows the low sliding at snails pace through the Sierra. Two additional areas of low pressure are riding its coattails.

Forecast Pattern

Forecast jet stream valid 3/6. The pattern remains active with a large trough across the West. This suggests snow, cold air, and wind.

Forecast Timing

Forecast radar/satellite valid 2/25-3/2.

Crested Butte, CO

2/26: 3″

2/28: 9″

3/1: 3″

3/4: 3″

3/5: 6″

3/6: 4″

Ruby Mountains

2/28: 4″, Gusty Wind

3/1: 1″

3/2: Dry

3/3: 3″, Gusty Wind

3/4: 4″

3/5: 3″

Forecast Totals

2/25-2/27:

2/28-3/6:

2/25-3/6:

2/25-3/6:

2/25-3/6:

2/25-3/6:

Snow forecast through 3/5

Tomer’s Take: 3-4 storm systems are lined-up through 3/5 for the West. A powerful northern jet and southern jet remain contributing factors. Deep snow accumulation bullseyes remain likely.

29″ in 48 hours at Purgatory, CO.

31″ in 48 hours at Wolf Creek, CO.

14″ in 48 hours at Kirkwood, CA.

Current Setup

Water vapor shows the almost cut-off area of low pressure moving at snails pace south through the Sierra. It will sit and spin in CA for a couple more days delivering heavy snow before it ejects into the Intermountain West. Additional storm systems are lined-up in a busy Pacific.

Forecast Pattern

Forecast jet stream valid 3/1. An area of low pressure is sliding through the Intermountain West.

Forecast Pattern March 10

Forecast atmospheric pressure anomalies (mid-atmosphere) valid March 10. The West remains active with a signal for lower atmospheric pressures.

Telluride, CO

2/24: 2″

2/26: 6″

2/28: 5″

3/1: 5″

3/5: 5″

Brighton, UT

2/24: 1″

2/26: 5″

2/27: 8″

2/28: 12″

3/1: 2″

3/4: 2″

3/5: 2″

Kirkwood, CA

2/24: 14″

2/25: 6″

2/26: 6″

2/27: 14″

2/28: 14″

3/1: 14″

3/4: 6″

3/5: 6″

Forecast Totals

2/24-2/26:

2/27-3/5:

2/24-3/5:

2/24-3/5:

2/24-3/5:

Two more storm systems and big Sierra snow

Tomer’s Take: The primary ABQ low is moving east. Next up is a snails-pace low in CA nailing the Sierra. This low will sit and spin for a few more days before ejecting into the Southern Tier with snow. Behind it is a 2nd low pressure with wind and snow for the Sierra and the West. 50-100 inch grand totals for the Sierra by 3/4.

104mph gust on Kendall Mountain, CO on 2/22. Wind gusts continue to hover around 100mph on 2/23. Air temps are below zero making the wind chills dangerous.

102mph gust on Wolf Creek Pass, CO on 2/22, early 2/23. Strong wind and below zero air temps continue on 2/23.

Current Setup

Water vapor satellite shows the departing ABQ low and snails-pace low in CA.

Forecast Pattern

Forecast jet stream valid 3/1. A strong storm system ejects out of CA and runs across the Intermountain West with wind and snow.

Ruby Mountains

By request…

3/1: 8″

3/2: Flurries, 30-40mph gusts

3/3: 4″, 30-40mph gusts

3/4: Flurries, 30-40mph gusts

3/5: Flurries, 40-50mph gusts

Mammoth Mountain

2/23: 4″

2/24: 28″

2/25: 10″

2/26: 2″

2/27: 12″

2/28: 22″

3/1: 12″

3/4: 2″

Telluride, CO

2/23: 3″

2/24: 6″

2/25: 0″

2/26: 4″

2/27: 1″

2/28: 1″

3/1: 8″

3/2: 5″

3/3: 0″

3/4: 3″

Forecast Totals

2/23-2/25:

2/26-3/4:

2/23-3/4:

2/23-3/4:

VT/NH/ME snow dates:

2/23: 4″

2/24: 1″

2/25: 0″

2/26: 1″

2/27: 0″

2/28: 8″

3/1: 2″

3/2: 0″

3/3: 4″

3/4: 5″

Powerful jet keeps the storm systems coming; Deep bullseyes

Tomer’s Take: Heavy snow continues through 3/3 for the West with a powerful jet conveyor belt. A few deep snow accumulation bullseyes continue. The Sierra could see 50-100 inches by 3/3.

Alta, UT is reporting 20″ in 24 hours with more to come!

Jackson Hole, WY is reporting 12″ in 24 hours. This officially puts them over 400″ for the season so far!

Current Setup

Water vapor satellite shows a big trough of low pressure across the West. This sets the stage for additional areas of low pressure to hit the same areas through 3/3.

Forecast Pattern

Forecast jet stream valid 3/1. A large trough and strong storm systems is sliding through CA with heavy snow accumulation.

Forecast Timing

Forecast radar/satellite valid 2/22-2/27.

Alta, UT

2/22: 7″

2/23: 4″

2/24: 1″

2/26: 5″

2/27: 5″

2/28: 7″

3/1: 7″

3/2: 7″

Telluride, CO

2/22: 12″

2/23: 8″

2/24: 1″

2/26: 5″

3/2: 4″

3/3: 1″

Forecast Totals

2/22-2/24:

2/25-3/3:

2/22-3/3:

2/22-3/3:

2/22-3/3:

2/22-3/3:

VT/NH/ME Key Snow Dates:

2/22: Late 3″

2/23: 10″

2/24: 1″

2/25: 1″

2/26: 1″

2/27: Late 3″

2/28: 10″

3/3: 1″

Active pattern through March 2; Deep bullseyes

Tomer’s Take: The main storm system of the period sets up as an ABQ low delivering deep snow bullseyes 2/21-2/22 along with colder air and strong jet wind. Then a cut-off low in CA moves east 2/23-2/26 through the Southern Tier. A third low delivers heavy snow to CA’s Sierra 2/27-3/1.

10″ in 24 hours at Jackson Hole. That makes it 24″ in 72 hours!

Jackson Hole, WY 2/21/2023 7am.

Current Pattern

Water vapor shows the main storm system diving south through the Rockies with strong jet support and colder air.

Forecast Pattern

Forecast jet stream valid 3/1. A trough with heavy Sierra snow is moving east.

Forecast Timing

Forecast radar/satellite valid 2/21-2/26.

Jackson Hole, WY

2/21: 9″

2/22: 4″

2/23: 5″

2/24: 1″

2/25: 0″

2/26: 6″

2/27: 3″

2/28: 3″

3/1: 3″

3/2: 1″

Brighton, UT

2/21: PM 18″

2/22: 14″

2/23: 2″

2/24: 2″

2/25: 1″

2/26: 3″

2/27: 1″

2/28: 0″

3/1: 3″

Telluride, CO

2/21: Late 1″

2/22: 16″

2/23: 4″

2/24: 4″

2/25: 0″

2/26: 6″

3/2: 6″

Kirkwood, CA

2/21: 8″

2/22: 4″

2/23: 5″

2/24: 12″

2/25: 5″

2/26: 10″

2/27: 14″

2/28: 24″

Forecast Totals

2/21-2/23:

2/24-3/2:

2/21-3/2:

2/21-3/2:

2/21-3/2:

2/21-3/2:

VT/NH/ME Snow timeline:

2/21: 1″

2/22: 1″

2/23: 7″

2/24: 1″

2/26: 2″

2/27: 1″

2/28: 6″

3/1: 3″

Snow forecast through March 1

Tomer’s Take: Juicy northwest flow (NWF) continues with two storm systems on its heels.

14″ in 48 hours at Jackson Hole, WY with significant snow yet to fall through 2/28. Strong wind above treeline 40-60mph.

Windy Jackson Hole, WY.

Current Setup

Infrared satellite shows the NWF and two areas of low pressure lined-up. Plus northern and southern jet involvement.

Forecast Pattern

Forecast jet stream valid March 1. An of low pressure traverses the West.

Forecast Timing

Forecast radar/satellite valid 2/20-2/25.

Jackson Hole, WY

2/20: 4″

2/21: 10″

2/22: 3″+

2/23: 6″

2/24: 8″

2/27: 6″

2/28: 8″

Telluride, CO

2/21: Late 1″

2/22: 14″

2/23: 2″

2/24: 3″

2/25: 0″

2/26: 4″

2/27: 6″

Alta, UT

2/20: 1″

2/21: Late 10″

2/22: 11″

2/23: 2″

2/24: 4″

2/25: 0″

2/26: Late 2″

2/27: 6″

2/28: 2″

3/1: 3″

Forecast Totals

2/20-2/22:

2/23-3/1:

2/20-3/1:

Central and Northern Mountains of Colorado grand totals.

2/20-3/1:

Southern Mountains of Colorado grand totals.

2/20-3/1:

Wasatch grand totals.

2/20-3/1:

VT/NH/ME Snow timeline:

2/21: Late 1″

2/23: 10″

2/24: Early 2″

2/26: 4″

2/28: 6″

Deep bullseyes with NWF and two storm systems through 2/28

Tomer’s Take: The Northwest Flow (NWF) is underway and delivering moderate to heavy snow accumulation. Then two storm systems wrangle the moisture and spread it across the West. They also deliver strong northern and southern jet branches plus colder air. After 2/25 it’s a drier waiting game until the next trough hits the west on/after 2/28 into March 2.

My forecast video 2/19:

Forecast Timing

Forecast radar/satellite valid 2/19-2/24.

Jackson Hole, WY

2/19: 4″

2/20: 6″

2/21: 8″+

2/22: 6″

2/23: 4″

2/24: 4″

2/28: 2″

Alta, UT

2/19: 2″

2/20: 2″

2/21: 14″

2/22: 14″

2/23: 4″

2/24: 4″

Telluride, CO

2/19: 1″

2/20: 0″

2/21: 2″ Late

2/22: 12″

2/23: 3″

2/24: 4″

2/27: 6″

Forecast Totals

2/19-2/21:

2/22-2/28:

2/19-2/28:

Wasatch Grand Totals.

2/19-2/28:

Central and Northern Mountains of Colorado grand totals.

2/19-2/28:

Southern Mountains of Colorado grand totals.

2/19-2/28:

The bulk of this occurs 2/21, 2/23.