Snow forecast next 8 days

Tomer’s Take: Northeast storm system 11/25-11/26 trending much weaker with possible 2nd storm system 11/27-11/28.

  • Northeast snow amounts continue trending lighter 11/25-11/26. Low pressure appears to be an open wave.
  • Additional accumulation with 2nd storm system 11/27-11/28. This could be the stronger of the two storm systems.
  • Larger pattern change for the West 11/25-12/1. Widespread snow and colder temps appear likely.

Current Setup

Infrared satellite shows two storm systems that degrade the high pressure ridge. The first low sneaks through 11/22-11/24. The 2nd low has a more a more profound effect across the West on/after 11/25.

Infrared satellite 7:40am 11/22/2022.

Northeast Storm System

What a wild ride this forecast has been. The potential for a large storm system 11/25-11/26 is diminishing.

Forecast jet stream on 11/26. Note the initial storm system 11/25-11/26 is now merely an open wave. A second storm system might be more promising.

Forecast jet stream valid 11/26/2022.

Forecast total snowfall (inches) valid 11/22-11/28.

Forecast total snowfall valid 11/22-11/28.

Western Ridge Breaks Down

Forecast jet stream valid 11/29. Western ridge is replaced by a large trough with low pressure systems moving through. This would translate into widespread snow and colder temps.

Forecast jet stream valid 11/29/2022.

Forecast Timing

Forecast radar/satellite valid 11/22-11/27.

Forecast radar/satellite valid 11/22-11/27.

Forecast Snowfall

Forecast snow totals (inches) valid 11/22-11/24.

Forecast total snowfall valid 11/22-11/24.

Forecast snow totals (inches) valid 11/25-11/30.

Forecast total snowfall valid 11/25-11/30.

My forecast video 11/22:

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