Dirty snow, late April pattern, and snow forecast through 4/21

A high wind event 4/3-4/4 deposited desert dust on Colorado’s snowpack. This seems to occur now every Spring. Dirty snow accelerates the melting of the snowpack by lowering albedo.

I co-authored a peer-reviewed article on Colorado’s Dirty Snowpack in 2010.

Below, MODIS visible satellite shows the brown tint to the snowpack in some places.

MODIS visible satellite 4/10/2023.

Dust aerosols on 4/3 were elevated over the desert southwest. The dominate flow in the upper atmosphere was from the southwest. That’s a perfect transfer conveyor-belt into Colorado on 4/3-4/4.

Dust aerosols 4/3/2023.

Vail’s live cam looking south clearly shows the brown/orange tint to the snowpack.

Vail 4/11/2023.

My forecast video 4/12:

Forecast Pattern

Forecast jet stream valid 4/21. Notice the large trough off the West Coast with support from the Northern Branch.

The Global Forecast System generates a larger, deeper trough. Forecast mid-atmosphere pressure anomalies on 4/20:

Forecast GFS mid-atmosphere pressure anomalies valid 4/20/2023.

Looking even further down the road —> GEFS Forecast mid-atmosphere pressure anomalies:

This would mean a wet/cool forecast for the West Coast.

Forecast Totals

Tetons, WY:

4/12: 3″

4/13: 3″

4/14: 1″

4/18: 4″

4/20: 3″

4/12-4/14:

4/15-4/21:

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