Monsoon on vacation but returns late this weekend

Tomer’s Take:

  • Hot and drier across Colorado through 8/13 with normal afternoon thunderstorm chances.
  • Moisture starts to increase afternoon 8/14.
  • This equates to a large window for FKT’s, high altitude loops, and big outings.
  • Bulk of next Monsoon surge in Colorado occurs 8/16-8/18.
  • Colorado is currently isolated and protected by the position of the key high pressure. Monsoon moisture is being sent into UT and all the way north into ID and parts of the PNW.

Water vapor satellite shows the high protecting Colorado. Notice how far north the current Monsoon surge is traveling. Orange/red = drier air aloft.

Water vapor satellite, 8/10/2022 6am.


In Colorado, here’s my precipitation forecast for the Central Mountain Zone:

Central MountainsAMPM
8/16 SURGEDRY90%
8/17 SURGEDRY90%
8/18 SURGEDRY80%

Next Surge

Atmospheric moisture increases to 200% of normal over parts of Colorado 8/16-8/18.

Precipitable water anomalies valid 8/17/2022, GEFS.

4 thoughts on “Monsoon on vacation but returns late this weekend

Comments are closed.