Tomer’s Take:
- LT 100 Mountain Bike Race: 8/13
- LT 100 Run: 8/20
- A Monsoon surge occurs in-between plus a cold front. The LT 100 Run on 8/20 is looking cooler than normal with possible residual Monsoon moisture. Details below.
Current Setup
Water vapor satellite shows the plume of Monsoon moisture being directed south to north through Utah, Idaho, Wyoming, and Montana. By afternoon 8/14, this plume begins to pivot and swing across Colorado through 8/19. Red/orange colors = drier air aloft.
Leadville Events Forecast
| Massive-Elbert | AM | PM |
| 8/13 | DRY | 50% |
| 8/14 | DRY | 80% |
| 8/15 | DRY | 90% |
| 8/16 | DRY | 100% |
| 8/17 | 30% | 90% |
| 8/18 | 30% | 80% |
| 8/19 | 20% | 80% |
| 8/20 | 10% | 80% |
Additional note: Air temps by 8/20 may run cooler than normal behind this Monsoon surge. There is also a cold front involved.
Here’s a look relative humidity mid-atmosphere and it’s running abnormally high on 8/20.
LT 100 MTB: Here’s the NWS digital point forecast for about 13,000ft valid afternoon 8/12 through 8/13.
