Tomer’s Take: The first snow of the season is covering some of Colorado’s 14ers including Longs Peak. Additional snow accumulation is likely through 9/15. 14er summit temps are now falling into the teens and 20s. Why? An enhanced Subtropical Jet Stream plus remnant moisture from a hurricane.
I also include a forecast for the Run Rabbit Run 50/100 in Steamboat.
Longs Peak Snow
First Snow of the season. Sometimes known as ‘Termination Dust’.
Pikes Peak Summit, 9/11:
The view from Copper Mountain of the 10-Mile Range. Photo courtesy Copper Mountain.
Subtropical Jet
This is a foreshadowing of what to expect this Winter. It acts like a conveyor belt escorting moisture and storm systems off the Pacific directly into the West.
Moisture
Below is forecast total precipitation between now and 9/15. This represents above normal precipitation by September standards. Most of this is rain/snow above Treeline with additional snow accumulation above 13,500′.
Mountain Forecast
Mount Yale, Summit Level
9/11: AM 30% snow, PM 90% rain/snow.
9/12: AM dry, PM 50% snow, 20/42F.
9/13: AM dry, PM 80% rain/snow.
9/14: AM 30% snow, PM 90% snow.
9/15: AM 30% snow, PM 90% snow, 21/35F.
Longs Peak, Summit Level
9/11: AM 30% snow, PM 90% snow, 24/25F.
9/12: AM dry, PM 20% rain/snow.
9/13: AM dry, PM 50% rain/snow.
9/14: AM 40% snow, PM 90% snow.
9/15: AM 50% snow, PM 90% snow, 20/25F.
Maroon Bells, Summit Level
9/11: AM dry, PM 40% rain/snow.
9/12: AM dry, PM 20% rain/snow.
9/13: AM dry, PM 70% rain/snow.
9/14: AM 40% snow, PM 90% snow.
9/15: AM 40% snow, PM 80% snow, 22/35F.
Run Rabbit Run, 9/15-9/16
There is a 50 and 100 mile offering.
Steamboat/Rabbit Ears Pass Area, 10K Level.
9/14: AM dry, then 80% rain/snow after 10am, 44 to 36F.
9/15: AM 40% rain/snow, PM 50% rain/snow, 34/38F.
9/16: Dry, clearing, 35/50F.
It was a squaw at Crested Butte last night. Had a nice little dusting on the webcam. I’m guessing a big year for CB, WC, Telluride, and maybe Monarch. Brian head too!
Yes! Thanks, Randall. Chris
The Pikes Peak Ascent and Marathon is coming up this weekend, too. It could be interesting…
Yes very interesting, Jim! I’m forecasting additional snow Thursday-Friday. Chris