Storm cycle through New Year’s Day

Tomer’s Take

  • 2-3 more storm systems lined-up for the West.
  • Largest storm system and possible merger on New Year’s Eve/Day.
  • Cold blast following this final storm system.

The latest infrared satellite reveals the storm track with storm systems lined-up.

Infrared satellite 12/27/2021 5am.

Let’s look at the final storm systems of this cycle. There are two moving pieces.

  • Pacific Northwest low pressure & cold front
  • Desert Southwest low pressure

> If the two merge over the 4-Corners then a much larger storm system emerges between New Year’s Eve and New Year’s Day for UT, NM, CO, ID, MT, and WY.

>If the two don’t merge than two smaller waves of snow move through UT, NM, CO, ID, MT, and WY.

Here’s the forecast jet stream setup on 12/31/2021:

Two different storm systems with jet stream, valid 12/31/2021, GFS interpretation.

This setup delivers a surge of strong wind to the Intermountain West on 12/30-12/31. My forecast wind gusts on select Colorado 14ers:

Forecast Gusts (MPH).

Snow Forecast

Forecast totals 12/27-1/2:

Inches of total snow 12/27-1/2.

Drilling down, here’s my snow plume forecast for Crested Butte, CO:

Inches of Total Snow.
  • If this verifies, then Crested Butte storm cycle grand totals from 12/23-1/2 will hover around 85″.

One more, Jackson Hole, WY:

Inches of Total Snow.

For more analysis please watch my forecast video:

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