Tomer’s Take: The powerful WNW Flow delivered 40-50 inch grand totals to parts of UT and CO. The next storm system is already hitting the PNW/BC with heavy precipitation. It’s part of a strong intensity atmospheric river. This storm system and one behind it move through ID, MT, WY, UT and CO 12/7-12/11.
Grand Totals:
Alta: 49″
Rabbit Ears Pass: 41.5″
Solitude: 35″
Steamboat: 30″
Vail: 23″
Berthoud Pass: 19.5″
*There is one outlier. The Tower snotel (Buffalo Pass) in Colorado is showing over 5 inches of snow-water-equivalent (SWE). A 15:1 ratio suggests 78 inches of grand total snow.
Current Setup
Water vapor satellite shows the strong intensity atmospheric river hitting the PNW/BC. This storm will ride the jet into the Intermountain West 12/7-12/11.
White/Blue = moisture aloft
Red/Orange = drier air aloft
Forecast Atmospheric River
Forecast Integrated Vapor Transport next 7 days valid WA/OR coast at 46.5N/124W.
Forecast Jet Stream
Valid 12/6. Strong intensity AR for PNW/BC.
Valid 12/8. Notice the dip over WY/CO with area of low pressure.
Valid 12/13. Quiet period for Intermountain West with ridge of high pressure.
Forecast Radar & Satellite
Forecast Totals
WY Snow: 12/7-12/8, 12/10-12/12.
UT Snow: 12/7-12/8, 12/10-12/11.
CO Snow: 12/8-12/11.
ID Snow: 12/5-12/7, 12/10.
MT Snow: 12/7-12/12.
Most of this occurs on 12/4.
Storm system 12/10-12/11 is warmer with more rain than snow.
Great site
Thanks, John!
Out of curiosity how often do you post/update. Schedule to go to big sky the 13th but think we might have to cancel 🙁
Didnt mean to post on someone else comment Sorry about that but Disregard. I see you other posts. Looks like no snowboarding for big sky.
Hi Jessica, usually post 1-2 times per day depending on activity. Big Sky looks snowy 12/7-12/10.
Chris
So for Banff Sunshine , as yet it has not been great , yes we are open , but at night when we put the mountain to sleep and patrol is leaving the stream of sparks from the planks , assures one that rock skies are a good choice theses days …🥶 but you do give us hope over the next few weeks my friend
Thanks for the update, Jim!
Chris
Enjoy your emails and videos. Any hope for Heavenly around Xmas time ?
Thanks ‘
Ross
Chicago
Thanks, Ross! Yes, I’d say there is hope for Heavenly around Christmas. There is a signal for some snow mid to late December.
Chris
Hoping for the best for north Lake Tahoe around mid-December! I start work at Palisades Jan 1, and it’s been a dismal start so hopefully we get some precipitation by the time I hopefully (weather dependent) get there.
Thanks, Maxwell! It does look like a signal for some snow around Tahoe mid to late December.
Chris
Awesome models
Thanks, Paul! Chris