A look at New Year’s and Beyond

Tomer’s Take

  • My forecast includes at least the partial merger of two storm systems over the 4-Corners between Thursday night and Saturday morning.
  • Heavy snow in UT, CO, and NM between Thursday night-Saturday morning.
  • In Colorado, the bullseye is Western Slope ski areas and San Juan ski areas.
  • This final storm system will mark the end of this prolonged and historic storm cycle.
  • The Intermountain West gets a brief 3-4 day dry break with snow returning quickly thereafter.

The infrared satellite shows the storm track and I marked the two storms systems that merge for New Year’s.

Infrared satellite with storm track, 12/29/2021 5am.

After this storm system departs on 1/1/2022, a small ridge of high pressure builds into the Intermountain West. This equates to a warmer, drier pattern for 3-4 days with snow returning quickly thereafter. Notice the drop in pressures off the West/PNW coast.

Pressure anomalies middle of the atmosphere (~18,000ft), GFS interpretation.

Snow Forecast

Let’s look at my snow forecast in two time-periods.


Inches of total snow 12/29-1/2.


Inches of total snow 1/3-1/7.

Drilling down, here’s my Aspen/Snowmass snow plume forecast:

Inches of total snow.

For more analysis please watch my forecast video:

6 thoughts on “A look at New Year’s and Beyond

    1. christomer Post author

      Hi Kate – about 6″ in South Park/Como Friday-Saturday. More on the surrounding high peaks. Turning much colder Friday night through Saturday. Chris


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