Final days of February; A look into March

Tomer’s Take

• Storm #2 is exiting Colorado. Next stop is the Northeast ski areas Thursday night-Friday.
• Tiny wave of light snow races through MT, ID, WY, UT, CO through 2/25 then high pressure rebuilds.
• Storm track shifts into the PNW and B.C. 2/25-3/1. It grows to include northern ID and western MT.
• Then it gradually shifts south to include most of CA, UT, WY, and CO after 3/3.

Colorado Totals & SWE

3-Day Storm Cycle Snow Totals:

• Wolf Creek: 43″ (SWE 3.9″)
• Silverton Mountain: 44″ (SWE 3.1″)
• Purgatory: 45″
• Telluride: 30″
• Snowmass: 32″
• Crested Butte: 20″

Current Setup

Water vapor satellite shows the dip in the storm track over the north Pacific headed for the PNW and B.C. this weekend. Orange/red colors = drier air aloft.

Early March

The storm track will gradually shift south from the PNW into ID, MT, WY, CA, UT, and CO. This occurs between 3/1 and 3/10. Below, notice the lower forecast pressure anomalies on 3/7/2022 across the West. The lowest pressures maximize around 3/10.

Snow Forecast

2/24-2/28:

3/1-3/5:

Northeast, 2/24-3/5:

Most of this accumulation occurs on 2/25.

For more analysis please watch my forecast video: