First week of February

Tomer’s Take

  • Arctic Front hits MT, WY, ID, CO, and NM 2/1-2/3.
  • This same Arctic Front develops into a storm system for the Northeast Thursday-Friday. Mixed precipitation early then changing to all snow.
  • Looking ahead, high pressure appears to hold strong in CA, NV, UT. Earlier optimism about a pattern change has evaporated.

The water vapor satellite shows the current storm track and looming Arctic Front that’s headed south. The orange/reds are drier air aloft. The whites/blues are moisture aloft.

Water vapor satellite 1/31/2022 5am.

Western High Pressure

Earlier optimism about a larger pattern change for the West have evaporated. Higher pressures appear to remain over CA, NV, UT through 2/10.

Forecast pressure anomalies valid 2/10-2/11, GFS interpretation.

The Pacific North American Pattern (PNA) has also flipped and is now more positive than negative 2/1-2/10. It trends negative by 2/14.

Snow Forecast

1/31-2/3:

Inches of total snow 1/31-2/3.

2/4-2/9:

Inches of total snow 2/4-2/9.

And, a look at the Northeast 1/31-2/6:

Inches of total snow 1/31-2/6.

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